By
Israel News Agency Staff
Jerusalem,
Israel --- September 8, 2008 ..... Part of the following was
communicated by the Israel Cabinet Secretariat to the Israel
News Agency.
According
to CNN, the Israel economy "has done remarkably
well for a country involved in a prolonged and violent political
struggle over the Palestinian territories." CNN
continues: "There are 3,361 high tech companies operating
in Israel as well as 150 foreign research and development centers.
The Israel economy grew more than five percent in 2007 faster
than the U.S., Europe, UK and Japan.
"The
Israel economy has managed to develop a kind of isolation from
the political instability," says Yossi Mekelberg, Associate
Fellow of the Middle East Program at Chatham House.
"It's
almost isolated, mainly because it's based on hi-tech, pharmaceutical
industries, and chemicals, and I think these are the things
that are less conditioned by the political situation."
It
is documented fact that Israel spends a greater percentage of
its GDP on hi-tech research and development than any other country.
It's also a documented fact, that one out of four children live
in poverty in Israel.
According
to the Israel Venture Capital Research Center, 3,361 hi-tech
companies are operating in Israel. And they're attracting foreign
interest and dollars. In the first three quarters of 2007, they
raised more than $1.2 billion dollars in funding, 10 percent
more than the same period the previous year.
But
one must ask, what are the wages being paid to these workers?
And what percentage of the Israel public is working in hi-tech?
Yossi
Vardi, who has helped more than 40 Israel startups get off the
ground, among them Mirabilis (makers of ICQ) and the video companies
Scopus and BrightCove and is a strategic advisor to Amazon and
AOL, and a venture partner of Pitango, one of Israel's largest
VC funds states that he backed his first technology business
almost forty years ago and has so far lent his expertise to
65 fledgling companies.
"Our
strength on the food chain is usually in the very early stages
where you have to come with ideas, innovation and take great
risks," says Vardi.
"The
hi-tech industry is not a monolithic thing. In China, they do
manufacturing. In India, they do coding. We are very good in
the early stages, like Silicon Valley. And this is what the
world is looking for in Israel."
Vardi
provides an excellent service in projecting a strong image of
Israel for investment. But what does Vardi have to say about
addressing massive poverty in Israel?
"Israel
is sending a dangerous double message. On the one hand
we are telling foreign investors to look at us and see
how strong we are. On the other hand, as the majority
of families in Israel simply struggle to survive, humanitarian
charities must now decide what is PR and what is true
economic reality in Israel?"
-
Israel News Agency
|
Yossi
Mekelberg from the foreign policy think-tank Chatham House says
a deal would create economic benefits for both sides of the
divide.
"I
think the direct benefits of a peace agreement would be immense,
both for the Israelis and the Palestinians," he says.
"When
there is a peace agreement there will be more investment. The
European Union, the United States, and others will investors
will pour more money, as happened post-1993. And also, let's
bear in mind there will be an extra growing economy that has
more than four million people, the Palestinian economy, so,
a peace dividend can be only positive.
But
while CNN and The Economist forecast sunny days
ahead, the Israel business publications Globes states
that a global economic slowdown will support the US dollar and
an economic slowdown in Israel.
Globes
states that a global economic slowdown will cause the dollar
to become a safe haven. US Treasury bills are considered the
safest asset in the world, and you need dollars to buy them.
At the same time, both households and companies will need liquidity,
and the best way to achieve it is by holding dollars.
"Despite
holding on for a bit of time, Israel's economy appears, as well,
to be sliding toward a significant economic slowdown,"
says Ronen Menahem, the head of strategy and investments at
Mizrahi Tefahot Bank.
"I therefore predict that the shekel will depreciate against
the dollar in line with other currencies, and that a shekel-dollar
exchange rate of NIS 3.60-3.80/$ is likely in the short term
with a breakthrough upwards towards year-end.
Globes
states that it has not forgotten two factors that are affecting
foreign currency trading, but excludes them from the calculation
because I believe that they will have little influence on exchange
rate volatility in the short term. The first is financial -
the new OECD assessment that a large part of the problems in
the financial sector are already behind us, and that the slump
in this sector is nearly over. However, the financial sector's
difficulties have spread to the rest of the economy and we'll
have to deal with this.
The
second factor is prices. That the sharp rise in prices will
quickly abate because the global economy is facing a slowdown
to one extent or another."
Yet,
Bloomberg sees another picture.
Bloomberg
states that Israel's gross domestic product grew faster than
expected in the second quarter, as booming chemical and fertilizer
sales drove exports.
The
economy expanded at a 4.2 percent annualized rate in April-June,
the Jerusalem-based Central Bureau of Statistics said in an
emailed report today. That beat the median forecast of 4 percent
from five economists surveyed by Bloomberg. Still, growth was
the slowest since the 2006 war in Lebanon, easing from 5.6 percent
in the first quarter.
"A
4.2 percent rate doesn't really amount to a slowdown, it's actually
a good pace of growth,'' says Vered Dar, an economist at Psagot
Investment House Ltd.,. "There will be real slowdown in
second half.'' Today's figures don't include "anything
that changes my expectations,'' he said.
Israel's
economy this year will probably expand at its slowest pace since
2003, with the Bank of Israel in June forecasting growth of
4.2 percent. That would still leave Israel ahead of the world's
developed economies, which the International Monetary Fund said
July 17 will grow 1.7 percent this year.
Exports
of goods and services grew an annualized 6.6 percent in the
quarter, slowing from 11.2 percent in the first quarter, the
bureau said. Imports of goods and services dropped at an 8.6
percent rate, the first decline in five quarters.
Consumer
spending fell at a 3.6 percent annual rate, compared with an
increase of 9.3 percent in the previous month. The decline in
consumer spending was led by a 46 percent annual decline in
purchases of durables, such as electronics, following two quarters
of double-digit growth.
"The
first quarter's growth rate was very, very strong, so this past
quarter we saw something of a correction,'' Eyal Raz, head of
economics at Bank Leumi Le-Israel Ltd., said by phone. "The
pace of consumer spending growth in the first quarter wasn't
sustainable.''
At
the weekly Israel government Cabinet meeting yesterday, Israel
Prime Minister Ehud Olmert drew ministers attention to
an article in The Economist, considered the most important
economic weekly in the world, which refers to the Israel economy
as the most successful in the world. The Prime Minister said
that, We know that the economy of Israel is successful.
The international perspective, when a journal like The Economist
presents the Israeli economy as the most successful in the world,
is not insignificant."
Olmert
continued: "It seems to me that we are entitled to commend
Israel Finance Minister Ronnie
Bar-On, and to all those involved in guiding the economy, for
this achievement. I think that this is an exceptional moment.
There have been many situations in the past 60 years in which
the Israeli economy has been seen as improving. There have also
been difficult situations. But never have the most senior, the
most authoritative and the most objective international elements,
that have never been known for their over-fondness for the State
of Israel, crowned the Israel economy as the most successful
in the world.
The
Israel Cabinet yesterday approved procedures for the functioning
of the Government
during emergencies, effective immediately. The Winograd Committee
discussed the Governments decision-making process in time
of war. The Committee members proposed that decision-making
procedures be established so as to enable the political leadership
to have a full and correct picture of the emergency situation.
Former IDF Chief-of-Staff Lt.-Gen. (ret.) Amnon Lipkin-Shahak
chaired a steering committee on implementing the recommendations
of Winograd Committees interim report the
steering committee also recommended that procedures be determined
vis-a-vis government decision-making in times of emergency.
The
Israel Cabinet also addressed rental protection. The Cabinet
stated that pursuant to the 1972 Tenant Protection Law, the
Cabinet had approved various tenant protection regulations for
2008.
In
addressing tenants rights, the Cabinet realizes that although
they boast about a booming economy, many in Israel have serious
problems paying rent. That one out of four children live below
the poverty line and the basic wage in Israel is about 1,200
USD per month. Over 90 percent of Olim from North America, the
UK and France leave Israel within 3 to 5 years as they either
cannot find employment or are under employed.
Israel
brain drain has become a very serious issue with more Israelis
now living in the United States than those who live in Israel.
That the majority of Israel's most respected companies which
export goods and services are registered in the United States,
Europe and off shore, the growing black market all speak volumes
as to the lack of tax and investment incentives in Israel and
the very real and true state of Israel's economy.
It
is critical that the Israel government projects a strong and
positive picture of the economy in order to attract foreign
investment. At the same time, the Israel government and those
Israel ministers who earn thousands of dollars in their positions,
should not swallow all of the economic public relations spin.
The
economy is good, but at what cost to the average Israeli?
The
Ariav Committee for capital-market reform is seeking across-the-board
tax exemptions for new immigrants, returning Israelis and foreign
investors to create a financial center with a competitive tax
structure for finance professionals and to be a catalyst for
the export of financial services.
"Tax
exemption should apply to new business generated inside and
outside of Israel to encourage business in Israel," he
said. "This is a good time to bring back Israelis and encourage
Aliya of top-tier finance professionals and investment managers
when around the world finance professionals are being laid off.
We are getting five to 10 calls a week from finance professionals
overseas looking to come here."
The
Ariav Committee, headed by Finance Ministry director-general
Yarom Ariav, has in recent months been faced with much skepticism,
mainly because of Ariav's vision for turning the local financial
industry into a global financial center resembling London, New
York or Singapore, which has been hailed as a daydream at best.
"It
is not about being another Singapore or London," said Ariav.
"We have to develop our own model and build up a sophisticated
and advanced capital market, with the aim of creating a financial
center in the Middle East."
The
idea is to repeat the country's success in building up an innovative
hi-tech sector and establish Israel as an international financial
center - and for finance to become a leading growth engine for
Israel's economy. Ariav's goal is to turn Israel into one of
the 10 leading financial markets within 10 years, and boost
the financial sector to 10 percent of gross domestic product,
from the current 4 percent.
On
the domestic level, one of the Ariav Committee's goals is to
develop sophisticated and professional "human capital"
for the finance industry. For this purpose it is recommending
the establishment of an academic institution for financial studies
and to broaden finance education at schools.
The
committee is also recommending the establishment of a court
specializing in economic affairs. The proposed court would be
a separate entity, run under the auspices of the Tel Aviv District
Court. The members of the committee believe that the inefficiencies
of existing courts stem from the judges' lack of understanding
of complicated financial matters, which are a major obstacle
in the country's attempts to improve its financial system and
to become an international financial center. Such a court would
have another advantage, as it would enforce the training of
judges specializing in economic matters, and would greatly improve
the efficiency of the legal system in such matters.
The
Ariav Committee includes Supervisor of Banks Rony Hizkiyahu,
Supervisor of Insurance and Savings Yadin Antebi, the Israel
Securities Authority chairman, the deputy governor of the Bank
of Israel, Prof. Zvi Eckstein and other experts in academia
and finance. It is expected to submit its recommendations for
attracting greater foreign capital and for developing the local
market into more of a competitive global player by the end of
August.
Israel
is sending a dangerous double message. On the one hand we are
telling foreign investors to look at us and see how strong we
are. On the other hand, as the majority of families in Israel
simply struggle to survive, humanitarian charities must now
decide what is PR and what is true economic reality in Israel?
The
Israel News Agency strongly suggests that both Jewish
and Christian charities increase their donations to the children
of Israel. But of greater potency, these Jewish and Christian
charities should help create jobs in Israel through reinforcing
the outsourcing of work from the US and Europe to Israel.
If United Jewish Communities (UJC) or Christian Charities have
any doubt as to the critical needs of the average Israeli, all
they need to do is visit Ben-Gurion airport and witness the
steady stream of those Olim who made Aliya and native Israelis
running for the US or Europe where jobs are far more abundant,
taxes are less and wages are four times as high.
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